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Frozen pre-match forecast · #123964

Buxoro VS Andijan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.81%
Draw
28.19%
Away
33.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5628
Log loss
0.9465

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
4e3f001498f972bca8347627d9fa4587d8d99a489724243ba012d55f94a838f1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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