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Frozen pre-match forecast · #123703

Stockay-Warfusée VS Crossing Schaerbeek

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.18%
Draw
23.92%
Away
44.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8776
Log loss
1.4305

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
83a5b6d3714eb81c8b277409882ef0c9ea695ccd994df41ef828bf2cc45281b0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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