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Frozen pre-match forecast · #123480

Utsikten VS Angelholms FF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.73%
Draw
23.43%
Away
50.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3627
Log loss
0.6764

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
f21f9c58e1d7a408ef8f7c45b7d6763c65907d854c471d627ab90a6052d8e82e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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