Frozen pre-match forecast · #123457
Pobla Mafumet VS Cornellà
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 09 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 11 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 36.14%
- Draw
- 27.08%
- Away
- 36.78%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.6164
- Log loss
- 1.0178
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 09 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
- SHA-256
- 7f758a6b645017843f50c7afc9b6f2af3db43f6261bfbb10fd5bb7e222466e5b
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.