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Frozen pre-match forecast · #123404

Admira Wacker VS Voitsberg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.81%
Draw
24.50%
Away
40.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6506
Log loss
1.0553

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
649316f3c2fe75256962382bd357774146e39f35b56314a77f872f3843b2d260

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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