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Frozen pre-match forecast · #12339

Austevoll VS Askøy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.68%
Draw
33.29%
Away
39.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5591
Log loss
0.9407

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
9fb0b8d23ca1be722ec5e1aec348de04b2b71bb0a5910b5dce0d7cc855ad131f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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