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Frozen pre-match forecast · #123295

Tabor Sežana VS Rudar

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.92%
Draw
22.21%
Away
17.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2419
Log loss
0.5122

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
e32672ec2c19aaaaca75b2d79cd6c599bad598db21c2a628b8e2653136295e3e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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