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Frozen pre-match forecast · #123261

Brooklyn W VS Dallas Trinity W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.69%
Draw
24.64%
Away
49.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8806
Log loss
1.4008

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
d9d62ecdd05db58592a30bc332231abb70ffa4e21a66b6eb26a7cc3470a51b24

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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