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Frozen pre-match forecast · #123134

KSZO 1929 VS Busko-Zdroj

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.12%
Draw
20.27%
Away
13.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1744
Log loss
0.4137

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
88364665a064d67535f122c2906c2c36adc03f625be24dda3a05bad8d6acad0a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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