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Frozen pre-match forecast · #122938

Kifisia VS Panetolikos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.31%
Draw
26.92%
Away
23.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3859
Log loss
0.7070

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
5bc01fdbb8f40fa6226cc4bf5e56021a48af4bb81468a2499f4513f6fa71d243

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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