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Frozen pre-match forecast · #122924

Karlovac 1919 VS Bsk Bijelo Brdo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.85%
Draw
29.12%
Away
35.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6190
Log loss
1.0258

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
62d5e314089b8f2d66c37dc29e43b572e9b673469f50f4b29140a351912ae54f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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