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Frozen pre-match forecast · #122437

Vitez VS Posušje

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.93%
Draw
28.59%
Away
44.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4625
Log loss
0.8101

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
811e98c3b7a45cf83b2fac7de4d4a835aa1069f4a57015c615fe8978d24c656f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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