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Frozen pre-match forecast · #122433

Potkozarje VS Slavija

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.83%
Draw
23.69%
Away
15.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2335
Log loss
0.4971

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
7a2d32fe92e61c4e7f9416c7ee9cff70172eae728da0f35596178127e85ea045

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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