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Frozen pre-match forecast · #122320

Fram VS Brumunddal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
85.66%
Draw
8.82%
Away
5.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0314
Log loss
0.1548

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
7db04033383e5c6af8b26b51436df1af15d8c683fc068a95def65e43cb3182d9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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