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Frozen pre-match forecast · #122273

Holešov VS Nové Sady

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
79.12%
Draw
12.93%
Away
7.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.0667
Log loss
0.2343

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
ed8dd81b88f3cf0b4fd2aabd7f6c2ec5f226ac4e6f68bdfc1c01dd27565e34bb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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