Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #122270

Holstebro VS Brønshøj

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.11%
Draw
21.25%
Away
57.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.2691
Log loss
0.5509

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
8d4606a7e7f52c1d0165be9715fa19be1da37d29304c4b85e7ff4b1d12521bbb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →