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Frozen pre-match forecast · #12225

Brønshøj VS ASA Aarhus

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.03%
Draw
33.73%
Away
32.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6529
Log loss
1.0779

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
d665efdc6d7ce79ca5773b5f05fa544d0fbce1968309387208c9cc3d61d31a00

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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