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Frozen pre-match forecast · #122138

Vanløse VS Holbæk B&I

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.64%
Draw
24.97%
Away
37.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8444
Log loss
1.3875

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
1c78b7ac2d3db94c9dd2f9d1ebcd899d3038599f50219819c86940478823814f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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