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Frozen pre-match forecast · #122043

Khovd Western VS Hunters

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
8.96%
Draw
11.54%
Away
79.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.0634
Log loss
0.2294

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
2aa80a4878577fb40342dbf02e68c0bf2a7ad9e01b4ad0c4737fcb88d46a2824

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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