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Frozen pre-match forecast · #121931

Hlinsko VS Kosmonosy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.47%
Draw
20.69%
Away
53.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.3208
Log loss
0.6192

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
4d112c3e60eb0a9b179e57db0c5a94c51a9f39a5794f67ac8ba8d926e13b3d0a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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