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Frozen pre-match forecast · #12188

Trelleborg W VS Häcken II W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.58%
Draw
24.76%
Away
16.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2606
Log loss
0.5348

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
93889b9bf7d3cdfd28f6a30411b87072801be571a4ad19a41138978ebc9c58af

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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