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Frozen pre-match forecast · #121774

RSC Anderlecht II VS AS Eupen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.45%
Draw
22.59%
Away
50.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3614
Log loss
0.6740

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
b90b25503319e30ca2dfa4f36fea9c93928b933860af560cfcfce7b9904cb001

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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