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Frozen pre-match forecast · #121544

Dynamo Makhachkala U19 VS Rubin Kazan U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.53%
Draw
20.97%
Away
19.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2457
Log loss
0.5186

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
c7c8a37bee142cbfffa2b166129940dd1e255a8f996de5a5a0772be29a500953

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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