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Frozen pre-match forecast · #12142

Middlesbrough U18 VS Blackburn Rovers U18

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.22%
Draw
32.42%
Away
32.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6295
Log loss
1.0436

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
29445ca39df222e41b1dd9fa5dc14d85191212749f05523e3bee507ad1a26db9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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