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Frozen pre-match forecast · #121371

hodd VS Ranheim

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.24%
Draw
20.53%
Away
51.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9737
Log loss
1.5832

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
6c6887445de1c464693df4a6954adea25cc493067bd234da89b323e4e326da18

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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