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Frozen pre-match forecast · #12113

ASA Aarhus W VS Odense Q

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.32%
Draw
33.45%
Away
18.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7096
Log loss
1.0951

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
25c58dcca4df57d3a319e3c50be71d354f73caa766d8732eae4794f38fd73836

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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