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Frozen pre-match forecast · #1211

Buducnost Podgorica VS Petrovac

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.22%
Draw
41.10%
Away
18.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5612
Log loss
0.9108

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
18b06605b5a0e474a00185a4a84e3f55969a9d6626994248a7449ea745dc5f09

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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