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Frozen pre-match forecast · #120850

Redeyef VS Korba

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.95%
Draw
28.84%
Away
25.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8537
Log loss
1.3779

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
d01bb072ed265f7aba385140a5604b08169fda811470b87bbd9d5fd11e9d3308

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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