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Frozen pre-match forecast · #120819

RC Kouba VS Usm El Harrach

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.28%
Draw
30.99%
Away
28.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5352
Log loss
0.9093

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
6be3a1e3a8e7907517774eea6e6786fe897589ebf38effb58f86024f5ee955e9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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