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Frozen pre-match forecast · #120556

Feyenoord VS Como

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.66%
Draw
22.26%
Away
51.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8483
Log loss
1.3220

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
a1a2e293038e7eb631f6044b47cc6e8642c7fe2ca08150a054c3de2c1e2adb15

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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