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Frozen pre-match forecast · #120483

Zhytomyr U19 VS Veres Rivne U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 10:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.47%
Draw
30.24%
Away
35.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6290
Log loss
1.0416

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
23950f063f30f2ca52a0ac7c8825f5526b2d771397e0000c9ca448bfb98a5d3f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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