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Frozen pre-match forecast · #120347

Al Seeb VS Al Hussein

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.91%
Draw
20.91%
Away
16.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.1421
Log loss
1.8214

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
9a8ae0da376454de95386eae3f65fe55580e66ba1f3840e16779df0a3876b19b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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