Frozen pre-match forecast · #120192
Sporting Braga U23 VS Marítimo U23
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 08 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 12 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 65.24%
- Draw
- 20.37%
- Away
- 14.39%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 1.2000
- Log loss
- 1.9386
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 08 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
- SHA-256
- eefc8194f21b2777bd4756bf442b05a6be5b122c534a1ef07934b174162a9de7
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.