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Frozen pre-match forecast · #119868

Comillas VS Oyonesa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.71%
Draw
27.20%
Away
43.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4861
Log loss
0.8419

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
f8b4c54bb7469224dd0ae252151b91107b9c46e0b246a8ef801ad5338c89094d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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