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Frozen pre-match forecast · #11983

Kawasaki Frontale VS Kashima

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.60%
Draw
30.19%
Away
34.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7311
Log loss
1.1977

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
f1a002c9553a4631453dfd3b1e17d286de1661524e9c13d7686671d90b891f14

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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