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Frozen pre-match forecast · #11973

Přepeře VS Hlinsko

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.06%
Draw
33.71%
Away
24.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5080
Log loss
0.8660

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
48afe3fd9f03bccaadb35e67903a5b9f1fefd10bbfe58c2bd094a7e3ec6adeab

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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