Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #119606

Pro Sesto VS Solbiatese

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.32%
Draw
24.26%
Away
15.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9613
Log loss
1.4163

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
3b666357a98120a89b68530d0a4ae9a8a7434ffa90ff4a389bd560c34ee967c7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →