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Frozen pre-match forecast · #119563

Preveza VS Levante

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 11:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
70.59%
Draw
19.17%
Away
10.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1337
Log loss
0.3483

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
2189acf467a74b2dd6fbb0283c4f3785adab1e4a29fb6452da1cea8dccb489e1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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