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Frozen pre-match forecast · #119496

Juventus U20 VS Genoa U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.85%
Draw
25.97%
Away
29.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7701
Log loss
1.2317

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
92477bd9a1907a49c9a31431cfc8807b3484e8a7f84acc3b016cdb37bda52340

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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