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Frozen pre-match forecast · #119486

Teplice VS Sigma Olomouc

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.73%
Draw
26.40%
Away
36.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8125
Log loss
1.3318

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
65e54f23ebaadb9202bf449a419afe05311282e9f023475ba0cb576e2588fa5e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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