Frozen pre-match forecast · #119253
SC Torrevieja VS Saguntino
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 08 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 11 Oct 2026 · 09:30 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 25.20%
- Draw
- 27.18%
- Away
- 47.62%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.8205
- Log loss
- 1.3027
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
Get the full match analysis
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 08 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
- SHA-256
- 3e1861921fd6d46924fc9add90e83b0e07bd611da498162b79c2085406344468
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.