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Frozen pre-match forecast · #119248

Yangon United VS Yangon Royals

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
77.92%
Draw
14.73%
Away
7.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.4873
Log loss
2.6105

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
304ec3712f3709065ad546488f5bd1a1aeab66b137902eca12eedfd415918654

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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