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Frozen pre-match forecast · #119224

Malut United VS Pusamania Borneo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.96%
Draw
24.53%
Away
46.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7812
Log loss
1.2393

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
6d33fa882cf3a1979b9c8331d7e92fad95034cc6e5d2a7baa9b477fab76a25f0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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