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Frozen pre-match forecast · #119221

Admira Wacker VS Voitsberg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.81%
Draw
24.50%
Away
40.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6506
Log loss
1.0553

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
52e4d3d7189aeb94a77e93d64839b4159ff6e009f88ae2286c56181cd3f1f3c1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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