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Frozen pre-match forecast · #119052

Temperley VS Nueva Chicago

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.41%
Draw
28.83%
Away
18.76%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3448
Log loss
0.6461

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
f96541aa92ffc164c3edce8ac3d9f39ca487ab18b7aac8aef941ef408f1a87f4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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