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Frozen pre-match forecast · #118953

KSZO 1929 VS Busko-Zdroj

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.12%
Draw
20.27%
Away
13.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1744
Log loss
0.4137

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
9a470f5d63fe396ec871d9b3144b0b0a2b62abf8122d669d00b449a17ed7927d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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