Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #118618

FC Wohlen VS Langenthal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.09%
Draw
20.05%
Away
60.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0460
Log loss
1.6069

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
db20cfcf80e53561af3c2fc8f5aa3d0bf5ade30f375f9495aec3e438aa68b0b4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →