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Frozen pre-match forecast · #118587

Schötz VS Bassecourt

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
73.25%
Draw
15.51%
Away
11.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1082
Log loss
0.3113

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
f0812d948e5464553463e4a904a3ae3f9226bd394b5b09eeb842df98cae02921

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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