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Frozen pre-match forecast · #118419

Clyde VS Dumbarton

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.54%
Draw
21.06%
Away
21.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2704
Log loss
0.5527

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
ca6d8ca16470ca89ed293a394e4ed549a600bb8e36bd6a964442c69e62dbff5b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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