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Frozen pre-match forecast · #118181

B 93 VS Middelfart

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.93%
Draw
26.92%
Away
25.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4068
Log loss
0.7354

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
08 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
a79a00925704b944acf7538ab3dc0de18eaf31a1ac10dec905fe57e97cc342b4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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